Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Missouri State Lady Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Lady Bears +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Nelson | 39 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Zya Nugent | 37 | 10-21 | 1-2 | 3-9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Hannah Wallace | 32 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +14.7 |
| Alyssa Koerkenmeier | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | +13.6 |
| Zhykera Brown | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +18.0 |
| Jahda Denis | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -13.6 |
| Jasaiyah Wallace | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Jada Tiggett | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -9.1 |
| Mia Bergstrom | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Isabel Tillett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaemyn Bekemeier | 35 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 24 | -3.1 |
| Maiesha Washington | 28 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Maycee James | 26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Cady Pauley | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -9.1 |
| Faith Lee | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -11.8 |
| Lainie Douglas | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Audrey Hopkins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Kendal Brueggen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.9 |
| JaNyla Bush | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Zoe Canfield | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
* = starter