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2025-11-05

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.6 โœ“ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.9% 96.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +24 (64-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Makiah Asidanya 36 6-16 3-10 4-4 2 1 1 0 2 19 5 -10.4
Jeni Levine 33 3-17 2-8 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 10 -4 -9.7
Tasia Johnson 30 2-10 2-7 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 7 2 -20.5
Rylan Moffitt 30 0-5 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 1 0 5 -21.9
Jaila Lee 23 1-10 0-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -6.5
Leyla Minor 21 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 -10.1
Kristina Rakotobe 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 +1.7
Ciara Harris 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -15.7
Joelle Davis 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2.1
Salimata Traore 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.0

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candy Edokpaigbe 33 10-16 1-3 5-6 7 1 0 2 2 26 18 +16.6
N. Ferrara Horne 31 2-7 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 0 3 5 9 +16.8
M. McIntyre 30 4-6 1-2 2-2 10 7 1 0 1 11 22 +15.8
A. Cargol 25 2-8 1-3 2-2 0 1 2 0 0 7 2 +3.8
N. Tausova 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 3 -1 +5.1
P. Tirado 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 5 +15.3
Mara Neira 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 0 5 +12.9
Michelle Ugwah 13 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 2 -4 +8.8
N. Mourio 10 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 8 6 -
S. Priestley 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.6
A. Pateman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9

* = starter