Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +22 (105-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Kade Sebastian | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -14.1 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 27 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | -9.4 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 26 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Madden Collins | 22 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -17.5 |
| Chris Eagan | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -26.0 |
| Julen Iturbe | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +9.0 |
| Dean Hogans | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Luke Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Matthew Casey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Jack Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyk Lewis | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +17.4 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 24 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +15.2 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 23 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +11.1 |
| Barry Evans | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +8.7 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 23 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +8.3 |
| Michael Belle | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +19.1 |
| Brandon Jennings | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +5.6 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +5.2 |
| Jordan Tillery | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -5.2 |
| Jordann Dumont | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Tyrell Ward | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter