Model Predictions
| Model | New Haven Chargers | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | -2.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | +0.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -6 (56-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
New Haven Chargers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabri Fitzpatrick * | 37 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Najimi George * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Andre Pasha * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Stefano Faloppa * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +8.7 |
| Kheni Briggs * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | +11.7 |
| Maison Adeleye | 19 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -6.7 |
| Teshaun Steele | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Kyle Kearson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Aidan Losiewicz | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Tristan Burth | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.1 |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ray * | 39 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Marcus Tankersley * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -7.9 |
| Doyel Cockrill III * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Dailliss Cox * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -10.8 |
| Malek Robinson * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Corey Sands | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.5 |
| Joseph Owens | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.2 |
| Chauncey Gibson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4.7 |
| Daniel Zatsepin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Dakari Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter