Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ross | 35 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -8.5 |
| N. Hodge | 35 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 10-12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 20 | -6.5 |
| Gavin Walsh | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -6.4 |
| Christian May | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Madison Durr | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.2 |
| G. Williams | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Patrick Wessler | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4.9 |
| M. Mabor Makoi | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.1 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Pettigrew | 32 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +8.4 |
| Shon Tupuola | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Isaiah Barnes | 22 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +6.4 |
| Brody Whitaker | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -4.8 |
| Owen Dease | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Rakim Chaney | 20 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Mark Brown | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +9.4 |
| Justus McNair | 16 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +10.3 |
| Carter Hopoi | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Tucker Tornatta | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +2.1 |
| Kyonte Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Sader Servilus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
* = starter