Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Searles * | 39 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Trae English * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Sincere Malone * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Christian Winborne * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Grant Sanders * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Jalik Dunkley | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Zaiden Cross | 14 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Jalin Rice | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -0.3 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Chaney * | 35 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | -2.8 |
| Shon Tupuola * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -2.2 |
| Carter Hopoi * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Isaiah Barnes * | 13 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -8.1 |
| Mark Brown * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Owen Dease | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Brody Whitaker | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| JT Pettigrew | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Tucker Tornatta | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5.1 |
| Justus McNair | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.2 |
* = starter