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2025-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Valparaiso Beacons Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.3% 76.7% - ✓
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.2 ✓ (25.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +48 (107-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Owen Dease * 25 2-6 1-5 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 7 8 -17.0
Shon Tupuola * 22 2-6 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 2 1 7 11 -21.3
JT Pettigrew * 20 1-11 1-5 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 5 0 -29.7
Mark Brown * 19 2-7 2-4 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -23.8
Isaiah Barnes * 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -17.7
Rakim Chaney 26 5-10 2-6 3-4 3 5 0 0 2 15 11 -4.5
Carter Hopoi 21 4-6 0-1 1-4 0 0 1 0 2 9 2 +5.2
Justus McNair 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 0 1 -8.8
Tucker Tornatta 15 1-4 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -14.3
Brody Whitaker 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -14.9
Sader Servilus 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -2.4
Camden Webster 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.1
Nick Lombardi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Kyonte Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Joe Vick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.1

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Chandler * 23 4-8 4-8 2-2 5 4 0 1 0 14 16 +21.6
Otega Oweh * 22 6-10 1-3 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 15 11 +22.5
Mouhamed Dioubate * 20 5-8 1-3 3-4 5 0 1 1 0 14 13 +25.0
Denzel Aberdeen * 19 3-3 1-1 5-5 4 2 1 0 1 12 15 +23.9
Brandon Garrison * 18 4-4 0-0 4-4 4 4 0 1 0 12 17 +14.1
Jasper Johnson 21 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 9 7 +5.4
Malachi Moreno 21 8-14 0-0 2-4 10 3 0 1 0 18 18 +16.5
A. Jelavić 20 2-5 1-3 2-3 5 1 0 0 0 7 8 +3.4
Jaland Lowe 18 2-7 0-2 2-2 2 5 1 0 0 6 7 +12.3
Kam Williams 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 2 +10.8
Walker Horn 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.2
Zach Tow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

* = starter