Model Predictions
| Model | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalen Garry * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +7.7 |
| Jaden Jackson * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Joe Sayler * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Matthew Mors * | 28 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -1.3 |
| Alec Squires * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -8.4 |
| Damon Wilkinson | 23 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +15.6 |
| Bubz Alvarez | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +3.5 |
| Caleb Delzell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Luke Haertle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones * | 39 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -6.4 |
| Armoni Zeigler * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Joey Hart * | 24 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -1.4 |
| D. Hill * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Preston Copeland * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -12.6 |
| Kayden Fish | 23 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Elmore James | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Juwan Maxey | 15 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Devon Barnes | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -8.7 |
* = starter