Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +30 (89-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Best | 33 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -31.0 |
| Asianae Nicholson | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -20.3 |
| I. Smith | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14.5 |
| T. Hayes | 23 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -24.0 |
| P. Anderson | 22 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | +4.2 |
| J. Gage | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -25.6 |
| D. White | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7.3 |
| K. Nimo | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -5.1 |
| T. Cornish | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4.5 |
| C. Staley | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.0 |
| C. Thiel | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| L. Henderson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Francis | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +28.8 |
| Trayanna Crisp | 30 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +31.2 |
| Destiney McPhaul | 29 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +20.9 |
| Chandler Prater | 26 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +5.8 |
| Favour Nwaedozi | 24 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +27.5 |
| Jaylah Lampley | 19 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +15.5 |
| Saniyah King | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +15.5 |
| Kharyssa Richardson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Awa Fane | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Nataliyah Gray | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.2 |
| R. Jimenez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter