Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Donovan | 38 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Charlise Dunn | 37 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Ines Garcia Monje | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Kyra Bruyndoncx | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -16.9 |
| Sienna Dauer | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6.6 |
| Elena Alvarez Castellanos | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +11.5 |
| Angeliki Ziaka | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +13.0 |
| Edina Strausz | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Emilie Bessell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Candice Lienafa | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Jasmine Timmerson | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3.7 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destiney McPhaul | 37 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +7.8 |
| Madison Francis | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Kharyssa Richardson | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Favour Nwaedozi | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Jaylah Lampley | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Chandler Prater | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -2.5 |
| Trayanna Crisp | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Awa Fane | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
* = starter