Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +4 (52-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hammonds | 36 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | -3.1 |
| D. Allen | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +5.7 |
| C. Rowe | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +4.2 |
| I. Udo | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -4.5 |
| E. Hardaway | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | +7.1 |
| A. Robles | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.7 |
| J. Holiman | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2.8 |
| S. Bean | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.0 |
| E. Dannebauer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.1 |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kierra Merchant | 34 | 8-18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Kayla King | 32 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -4.8 |
| TK Pitts | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Briana Peguero | 28 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Amirah Abdur-Rahim | 28 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -5.1 |
| Kateri Poole | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Jade Jones | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Amani Bartlett | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Shun'teria Anumele | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
* = starter