Model Predictions
| Model | New Haven Chargers | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | +12.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +13.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats +5 (64-59). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Haven Chargers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniya McDonald-Perry * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Addisen Sulikowski * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Schuyler Coles * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Renelle Grannum * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Merit Innocent * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Teaira Kelley | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Katelyn Simpson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shannon McCarthy | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eveani Okwuosa | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Katie Drozd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeChent * | 40 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Elizabeth Lavoie * | 27 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Camryn Fauria * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lucia Melero Sabat * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kenzie Matulonis * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maggie Cavanaugh | 35 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Katie Ledden | 25 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jamie Kent | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Alia Cordone | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +8.7 |
| Kassidy Thompson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Carolina Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Averie Harding | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter