Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (31.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (28.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats +36 (74-38). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Ozel * | 36 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -23.6 |
| Catherine MacDonald * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -19.7 |
| Alexandra Eldredge * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -17.6 |
| Olivia Austin * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -25.2 |
| Clare Meyer * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
| Nina Minicozzi | 20 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -13.6 |
| Sierra Carson | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -23.0 |
| Olivia Lawlor | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Jacalyn Myrthil | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.3 |
| Emma Olausson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Tahira Muhammad | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.3 |
| Debra Hill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeChent * | 36 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +25.2 |
| Elizabeth Lavoie * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | +27.9 |
| Camryn Fauria * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +20.7 |
| Lucia Melero Sabat * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Kenzie Matulonis * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Maggie Cavanaugh | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +21.7 |
| Alia Cordone | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +21.7 |
| Katie Ledden | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +9.4 |
| Carolina Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Averie Harding | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Kassidy Thompson | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Sydney Lusher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Jamie Kent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter