Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Fiore | 33 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 29 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Madison Roman | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Molly Manion | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Oralye Kiefer | 23 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Paloma Garcia | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Se'Lah Reddick | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Makayla Thomas | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joi Williams | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeChent | 39 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 9-13 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Maggie Cavanaugh | 36 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Elizabeth Lavoie | 32 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| L. Melero Sabat | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Camryn Fauria | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Katie Ledden | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carolina Williams | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kenzie Matulonis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alia Cordone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter