Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Dakota State Jackrabbits +19 (78-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree Salenbien | 37 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -7.6 |
| Karsyn Norman | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | -6.2 |
| Aniss Tagayi | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | -11.3 |
| Grace Kingery | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -11.9 |
| Zhen Verburgt | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -16.5 |
| Alba Caballero | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Tessa Towers | 18 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -1.6 |
| Giorgia Gorini | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Ashlynn Brooke | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +0.7 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mathiowetz | 35 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +13.6 |
| B. Meyer | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | +16.6 |
| M. Hartwig | 25 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5.0 |
| M. Abdouch | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | +13.2 |
| H. Thul | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +5.7 |
| E. Colbeck | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +12.5 |
| H. Behrens | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +15.2 |
| B. Felchle | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.6 |
| C. Sheppard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
| A. Hoselton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter