Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +22 (87-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree Salenbien | 36 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 15 | -17.4 |
| Aniss Tagayi | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -18.9 |
| Karsyn Norman | 29 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Grace Kingery | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -10.4 |
| Zhen Verburgt | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Tessa Towers | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -3.2 |
| Zuri Ransom | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11.1 |
| Giorgia Gorini | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Alba Caballero | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.8 |
| Ashlynn Brooke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Donovan | 37 | 10-16 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | +19.3 |
| Charlise Dunn | 35 | 7-20 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | +25.0 |
| Kyra Bruyndoncx | 33 | 9-12 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | +26.1 |
| Elena Alvarez Castellanos | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +8.7 |
| Ines Garcia Monje | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +25.3 |
| Edina Strausz | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Emilie Bessell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Candice Lienafa | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Jasmine Timmerson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +15.7 |
| Sienna Dauer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Sylvie Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter