Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Mya Perry | 36 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -14.0 |
| C. DeVillasee | 35 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | -3.1 |
| K. Torrence | 26 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -3.7 |
| K. Barrett | 25 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -4.8 |
| D. Snyder | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | +0.4 |
| A. Ndiba | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -16.1 |
| M. Carden | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.7 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsyn Norman | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | +28.6 |
| Aniss Tagayi | 34 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -0.7 |
| Bree Salenbien | 32 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 28 | +17.7 |
| Grace Kingery | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +14.4 |
| Tessa Towers | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | +15.7 |
| Zhen Verburgt | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Alba Caballero | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Zuri Ransom | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Giorgia Gorini | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -14.2 |
* = starter