Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -24 (59-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniss Tagayi | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Karsyn Norman | 28 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Grace Kingery | 26 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Bree Salenbien | 26 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tessa Towers | 20 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Alba Caballero | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Zuri Ransom | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Giorgia Gorini | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ashlynn Brooke | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brooke Winchester | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Violeta Rojas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Laura Martinez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hunter | 30 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Cori Allen | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Kennedi Alexander | 26 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tamya Smith | 23 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Chae Harris | 23 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Daejah Richmond | 21 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Bailey Gilmore | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Amauri Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Paris Gaines | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brooklynn Charlo | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter