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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% - ✓
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.6 ✓ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - ✓

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +27 (90-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nik Graves * 32 5-13 0-6 2-4 2 2 1 0 2 12 2 -7.3
Josh Dix * 26 1-9 1-4 4-4 5 1 1 0 1 7 4 -9.0
Jackson McAndrew * 25 2-8 2-6 0-2 6 0 1 0 1 6 4 -8.6
Blake Harper * 25 4-6 1-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 12 7 +1.4
Owen Freeman * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -7.4
Austin Swartz 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -3.0
Jasen Green 17 1-1 1-1 6-7 3 1 0 0 1 9 11 +4.7
Isaac Traudt 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.8
Kerem Konan 11 2-3 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -1.5
Ty Davis 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 2 1 +2.0
Fedor Zugic 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2.3
Shane Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -0.8
Liam McChesney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.2

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Graham Ike * 29 8-10 4-4 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 20 20 +12.5
Braeden Smith * 22 3-7 0-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 0 6 8 +3.0
Braden Huff * 22 7-12 0-2 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 14 6 +2.3
Adam Miller * 20 5-8 0-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 11 4 +9.2
Emmanuel Innocenti * 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 5 9 +4.4
Jalen Warley 22 3-6 0-0 3-4 9 3 3 0 2 9 16 +5.7
Tyon Grant-Foster 20 1-7 1-6 2-4 4 0 0 1 1 5 2 +2.3
M. Saint-Supéry 18 5-6 2-2 1-1 4 3 2 1 1 13 16 -
Steele Venters 13 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 3 2 +1.7
Davis Fogle 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.5
Ismaila Diagne 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.3
Noah Haaland 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -2.3

* = starter