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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 ✗ (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - ✗

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dylan Andrews 33 4-19 1-6 11-13 6 4 1 0 1 20 11 +1.4
Javan Buchanan 29 5-10 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 10 9 -3.7
RJ Keene 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 8 4 0 0 0 0 10 +1.6
Andrew Meadow 24 3-6 1-2 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 10 6 +0.4
Dominic Parolin 24 3-4 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 2 1 8 15 +8.8
Aginaldo Neto 20 1-2 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -0.0
Drew Fielder 19 7-11 1-3 1-2 5 1 0 1 2 16 10 -3.9
Pearson Carmichael 17 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 2 1 2 9 5 +11.6
Spencer Ahrens 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +8.5

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Finley Bizjack 35 5-12 0-5 0-1 2 3 0 0 2 10 1 +3.0
Michael Ajayi 34 6-13 1-4 3-6 8 3 0 0 2 16 12 +6.5
Jamie Kaiser Jr. 32 3-6 0-1 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 7 6 +3.0
Drayton Jones 27 4-5 0-0 4-5 5 1 0 4 0 12 17 -4.7
Yame Butler 20 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 3 -1.8
A. Robinson 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 4 -1.3
Yohan Traore 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -6.2
Evan Haywood 10 2-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 -13.6
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor 6 2-3 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 -2.2
Jack McCaffery 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -10.3
Jackson Keith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.9

* = starter