Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 39 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Daniel Freitag | 39 | 8-19 | 5-10 | 10-13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 20 | -3.6 |
| Ezra Mckenna | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.4 |
| Noah Batchelor | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.4 |
| D. Talton Jr. | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2.0 |
| M. Pocknett | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | -2.0 |
| Tim Oboh | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.4 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley | 39 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 11-16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 17 | +4.9 |
| Tybo Bailey | 32 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +12.5 |
| Corey Caulker | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -12.8 |
| Luke Davis | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | +1.2 |
| Patrick D'Arcy | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Reid Cason | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.2 |
* = starter