Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -13 (54-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +9.9 |
| Alonzo Dodd * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | +10.8 |
| Luke Wilson * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | +16.7 |
| Eren Banks * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +18.2 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -5.7 |
| Chad Moodie | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Andrin Njock | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Jacari Brim | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley * | 37 | 10-23 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | -8.7 |
| Giovanni Emejuru * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -3.1 |
| Corey Caulker * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Vito Perkovic * | 10 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -10.7 |
| Jayshayne Woodard * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.8 |
| Luke Davis | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -8.5 |
| Tybo Bailey | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Patrick D'Arcy | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -9.6 |
| Reid Cason | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
* = starter