Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +25 (85-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley * | 34 | 7-19 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | -14.1 |
| Corey Caulker * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -15.0 |
| Tybo Bailey * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Giovanni Emejuru * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -14.3 |
| Eli DeLaurier * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -9.4 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -13.2 |
| Reid Cason | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8.4 |
| Vito Perkovic | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Patrick D'Arcy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Ladontae Felton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hodge * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +17.8 |
| G. Williams * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +19.1 |
| N. Ross * | 27 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +13.8 |
| Christian May * | 25 | 8-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Patrick Wessler * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Gavin Walsh | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +13.1 |
| Madison Durr | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +15.2 |
| M. Mabor Makoi | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +9.5 |
| M. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| J. Fullwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| G. Whitt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter