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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% +1.2 โœ— (3.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - โœ—
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 โœ— (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—

Actual: Syracuse Orange -2 (69-71). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Barry Dunning Jr. * 44 5-10 2-4 5-7 6 1 2 0 2 17 14 +6.2
Damarco Minor * 43 1-10 0-9 3-3 8 3 1 0 1 5 6 +11.6
Roman Siulepa * 37 3-4 1-2 0-4 9 0 1 0 1 7 12 +8.2
Cameron Corhen * 36 8-14 1-2 4-4 1 1 1 1 3 21 8 +21.2
Omari Witherspoon * 22 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 5 0 +4.0
Nojus Indrusaitis 30 7-14 1-7 1-2 6 1 2 0 0 16 11 -2.8
Kieran Mullen 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -9.7
Macari Moore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -3.7

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donnie Freeman * 43 5-14 0-3 8-9 13 1 0 0 3 18 15 -3.2
Naithan George * 40 8-17 4-10 6-6 6 4 2 0 2 26 19 +9.0
Nate Kingz * 35 5-8 2-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 14 6 -14.4
William Kyle III * 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 4 1 6 8 -21.9
JJ Starling * 27 0-7 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 -3 -14.6
Tyler Betsey 26 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 0 +12.4
Ibrahim Souare 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 +15.5
Bryce Zephir 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -2.1

* = starter