Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Trimble | 38 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Henri Veesaar | 33 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jarin Stevenson | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Derek Dixon | 32 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Luka Bogavac | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Zayden High | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Powell | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaydon Young | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 37 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Dame Sarr | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Maliq Brown | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Cay. Boozer | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Evans | 27 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Darren Harris | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Foster | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jack Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Sheffield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter