🐻⬇️🏀

Florida State Seminoles 75
@
Pittsburgh Panthers 74
2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% - ✓
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.6% 37.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - ✗

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -1 (74-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McCray V 35 4-16 1-5 5-6 6 6 2 0 3 14 9 -
L. Jones 33 6-11 3-7 3-6 3 2 0 1 0 18 13 -
C. Wiggins 31 7-10 4-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 18 9 -
T. Bassong 30 4-6 0-1 0-1 8 0 1 1 0 8 12 -
M. Somerville 27 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 3 6 -
A. Steen 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 4 9 -
C. Miles 10 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. MaGee 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
AJ Swinton 6 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 7 5 -
A. Maluk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dunning Jr. 40 10-18 5-9 1-2 10 1 1 1 0 26 21 -
O. Witherspoon 38 3-8 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 6 2 -
D. Minor 35 3-10 2-8 2-2 3 10 1 1 1 10 14 -
C. Corhen 35 6-11 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 1 14 12 -
N. Indrusaitis 32 4-10 2-7 7-7 3 3 2 0 0 17 15 -
R. Siulepa 18 0-6 0-1 1-4 8 0 1 1 1 1 4 -
M. Moore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter