Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -29 (64-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 32 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Isaiah Evans | 26 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Foster | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dame Sarr | 22 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Maliq Brown | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Cay. Boozer | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Ngongba | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Darren Harris | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jack Scott | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Sheffield | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Matt Able | 32 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 29 | 6-17 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Quadir Copeland | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Musa Sagnia | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Alyn Breed | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| V. Lubin | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Scottie Ebube | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter