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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% -
Bradley-Terry 67.5% 32.5% -
Margin 76.0% 24.0% -6.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% -
Log Adjusted 80.9% 19.1% -
Points Off/Def 62.5% 37.5% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +6 (96-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Copeland 42 5-8 0-0 7-8 2 9 2 0 4 17 18 -6.6
V. Lubin 39 8-10 0-0 8-9 10 0 0 1 0 24 25 -
P. McNeil 36 4-13 3-11 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 11 3 -
T. Holloman 35 2-8 2-7 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 6 3 +6.9
Dar. Williams 33 7-17 3-10 0-0 6 2 3 0 0 17 11 +5.8
T. Arceneaux 20 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 9 6 -8.8
M. Able 16 2-4 1-3 1-3 1 1 1 0 0 6 5 -5.8
M. Sagnia 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
S. Ebube 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Certa 41 9-17 6-10 8-9 2 2 0 0 3 32 16 +6.3
B. Shrewsberry 41 5-10 3-6 3-4 5 3 0 0 0 16 14 +4.6
L. Imes 36 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 8 6 -3.5
C. Towt 30 1-1 0-0 0-2 9 0 1 0 2 2 9 -2.0
J. Haralson 28 8-15 0-1 9-10 9 2 2 0 1 25 22 +3.7
S. Mohammed 22 4-6 0-1 2-3 3 3 0 0 4 10 6 +2.0
G. Sundra 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +8.1
R. Frost 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 +6.2
B. Koehler 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -7.1

* = starter