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2026-02-24

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% - βœ“
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 βœ“ (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 29.4% 70.6% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - βœ“

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +29 (90-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dar. Williams 35 5-12 3-6 1-2 2 3 2 2 3 14 8 -
V. Lubin 33 4-10 0-0 3-5 7 1 0 2 1 11 10 -
T. Holloman 30 2-8 2-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 6 4 -
P. McNeil 29 6-16 3-12 7-7 6 1 0 0 0 22 13 -
Q. Copeland 23 1-5 0-1 1-1 1 5 1 1 2 3 4 -
M. Able 21 1-9 1-7 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 3 -1 -
T. Arceneaux 20 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Sagnia 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Ebube 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hall 31 3-5 2-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 8 13 -
T. De Ridder 26 7-10 1-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 1 19 16 -
S. Lewis 26 7-11 2-4 0-1 3 1 1 0 2 16 8 -
U. Onyenso 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 4 1 4 7 -
J. White 20 4-6 4-5 3-3 4 0 0 0 1 15 12 -
C. Mallory 19 3-8 1-4 4-4 5 4 2 0 1 11 13 -
M. Thomas 19 3-8 1-5 5-6 5 3 0 0 0 12 12 -
J. GrΓΌnloh 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 8 3 3 12 -
D. Tillis 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Carrere 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Lang 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Roberts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Gertrude 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
O. Odom 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter