Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 33 | 9-25 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 3 | - |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Conwell | 29 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Isaac McKneely | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khani Rooths | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Sananda Fru | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Vangelis Zougris | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Wooley | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Aly Khalifa | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kobe Rodgers | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kasean Pryor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Trimble | 37 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Jarin Stevenson | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Henri Veesaar | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Luka Bogavac | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Derek Dixon | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Zayden High | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Powell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaydon Young | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter