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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.0% 54.0% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ernest Udeh Jr. 39 1-2 0-0 6-6 9 1 1 1 1 8 17 -3.7
Tre Donaldson 38 6-17 3-8 3-3 2 7 1 0 1 18 10 -0.2
Shelton Henderson 32 6-12 0-0 6-7 3 3 2 0 1 18 13 -9.1
Malik Reneau 28 7-10 1-1 1-1 3 2 1 1 6 16 7 -5.6
Dante Allen 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 3 6 -11.4
Tru Washington 23 6-12 3-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 15 9 +11.7
Timotej Malovec 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 +10.6
Salih Altuntas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thijs De Ridder 36 6-14 1-4 1-3 2 3 2 1 3 14 5 +6.3
Sam Lewis 29 6-8 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 15 9 +4.1
Jacari White 28 6-9 5-8 0-0 1 5 1 2 0 17 17 -
Dallin Hall 28 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 2 4 -4.9
Johann Grünloh 27 4-5 2-2 2-2 4 0 0 5 0 12 16 -
Chance Mallory 22 2-3 1-2 7-7 6 6 0 0 2 12 19 +12.4
Malik Thomas 18 2-5 2-5 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 10 9 +1.5
Ugonna Onyenso 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -4.4

* = starter