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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 42.2% 57.8% +1.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Certa 38 6-18 2-12 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 16 1 -
B. Shrewsberry 38 2-15 2-13 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 6 -2 -
C. Towt 32 3-6 0-0 1-4 13 4 2 0 1 7 19 -
L. Imes 30 4-10 1-5 3-4 8 3 3 1 3 12 14 -
B. Koehler 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 6 -
R. Frost 17 4-5 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 12 10 -
S. Mohammed 14 4-6 0-2 1-3 1 3 0 0 1 9 6 -
G. Sundra 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Corhen 38 3-10 0-0 7-8 8 2 0 0 1 13 12 -
D. Minor 36 1-6 1-5 2-4 2 1 1 0 2 5 1 -
R. Siulepa 34 7-10 4-6 4-6 7 3 3 0 3 22 22 -
O. Witherspoon 33 3-5 1-1 1-3 7 5 0 0 3 8 12 -
B. Dunning Jr. 32 3-10 1-6 1-2 4 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
N. Indrusaitis 27 5-8 4-6 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 17 16 -

* = starter