Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 35 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Conwell | 33 | 4-16 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 31 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Isaac McKneely | 25 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sananda Fru | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Adrian Wooley | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Aly Khalifa | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Khani Rooths | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kobe Rodgers | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Vangelis Zougris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kasean Pryor | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller | 37 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| B.J. Edwards | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 33 | 10-19 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Corey Washington | 29 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jaden Toombs | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sam Walters | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mitchell Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter