Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | -6.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. De Ridder | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Mallory | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. White | 21 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| S. Lewis | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 19 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Grünloh | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Tillis | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Carrere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jones | 34 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 5-8 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. McCray V | 29 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| M. Somerville | 24 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Steen | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Bassong | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. MaGee | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| AJ Swinton | 19 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Maluk | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter