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Virginia Cavaliers 61
@
Florida State Seminoles 58
2026-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 67.3% 32.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 76.7% 23.3% - ✓
Margin 75.2% 24.8% -6.1 ✓ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - ✓

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hall 30 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 3 4 -
T. De Ridder 28 3-9 0-2 3-4 9 1 2 1 1 9 12 -
C. Mallory 27 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 7 5 -
U. Onyenso 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 3 0 4 12 -
J. White 21 7-11 5-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 19 11 -
S. Lewis 21 3-9 1-5 2-4 2 2 0 1 2 9 3 -
M. Thomas 19 1-7 1-6 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 3 0 -
J. Grünloh 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Tillis 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Carrere 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jones 34 6-15 4-9 5-8 13 0 2 0 3 21 18 -
C. Wiggins 30 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -
R. McCray V 29 6-16 2-6 6-7 4 4 2 3 3 20 14 -
M. Somerville 24 0-7 0-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Steen 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
T. Bassong 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
K. MaGee 20 3-5 0-2 3-3 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
AJ Swinton 19 0-6 0-6 1-2 1 0 2 1 0 1 -1 -
A. Maluk 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter