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2026-02-09

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 โœ“ (33.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +41 (118-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Holloman 30 7-13 1-5 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 19 8 -
Matt Able 28 2-6 1-2 3-4 7 1 2 0 1 8 11 -
Dar. Williams 28 3-13 2-7 0-0 5 2 3 0 0 8 5 -
Paul McNeil Jr. 26 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -6 -
V. Lubin 26 7-10 0-1 6-7 6 0 0 1 0 20 17 -
Quadir Copeland 21 4-10 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 4 10 3 -
Terrance Arceneaux 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 2 4 -
Musa Sagnia 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Alyn Breed 6 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Scottie Ebube 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikel Brown Jr. 34 14-23 10-16 7-7 9 2 3 0 2 45 34 -
Ryan Conwell 29 10-14 5-6 6-7 7 6 1 1 4 31 28 -
Isaac McKneely 26 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
J'Vonne Hadley 22 4-5 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
Sananda Fru 18 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
Khani Rooths 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Aly Khalifa 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 2 6 -
Adrian Wooley 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Kobe Rodgers 11 0-1 0-0 4-5 6 2 1 0 2 4 10 -
Vangelis Zougris 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kasean Pryor 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Will Hanke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cole Sherman 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Spencer Legg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter