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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Log Adjusted 60.1% 39.9% -
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3 (79-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jones 33 3-7 1-2 4-5 5 2 0 0 2 11 9 -
M. Somerville 31 2-8 2-7 1-2 6 6 2 0 0 7 13 -
C. Wiggins 30 8-15 5-10 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 22 11 -
R. McCray V 22 4-13 4-6 3-4 4 2 0 1 1 15 8 -
A. Steen 22 2-4 0-0 6-6 9 2 0 1 0 10 18 -
AJ Swinton 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 2 0 8 6 -
T. Bassong 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
K. MaGee 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
C. Miles 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Maluk 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Shrewsberry 39 5-14 4-12 4-4 5 4 1 0 2 18 12 -
C. Certa 38 5-15 4-11 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 14 3 -
S. Mohammed 28 4-11 1-2 2-2 8 1 1 2 1 11 11 -
C. Towt 24 2-2 0-0 0-7 8 0 0 1 0 4 11 -
L. Imes 21 3-8 1-3 0-1 5 3 0 1 2 7 6 -
B. Koehler 19 1-3 0-2 2-3 5 1 1 1 2 4 7 -
G. Sundra 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 6 10 -
J. Haralson 15 5-9 0-1 5-5 4 1 0 0 3 15 8 -

* = starter