Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 38 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Evans | 34 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Foster | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Dame Sarr | 33 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Maliq Brown | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Ngongba | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cay. Boozer | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 40 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Henri Veesaar | 35 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Derek Dixon | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 32 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jarin Stevenson | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Powell | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Luka Bogavac | 13 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaydon Young | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter