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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.8 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Certa 35 6-18 5-14 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 18 4 -
Braeden Shrewsberry 34 3-11 2-4 0-1 2 2 2 0 0 8 3 -
Brady Koehler 32 4-10 2-5 1-2 4 0 4 2 1 11 10 -
Jalen Haralson 29 3-9 0-1 2-4 7 5 1 0 6 8 6 -
Carson Towt 25 3-5 0-0 0-1 10 3 1 0 3 6 12 -
Logan Imes 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Sir Mohammed 14 3-7 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 1 0 8 6 -
Garrett Sundra 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Ryder Frost 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Matthew MacLellan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Conwell 33 4-14 1-9 3-3 4 3 1 1 2 12 5 -
Mikel Brown Jr. 28 1-7 1-5 3-4 4 6 1 0 3 6 7 -
Isaac McKneely 27 4-8 4-8 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
Khani Rooths 26 5-9 1-2 1-3 12 1 2 0 2 12 16 -
Adrian Wooley 18 3-9 0-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Sananda Fru 17 4-7 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 3 2 12 12 -
Kasean Pryor 16 5-6 0-1 0-1 5 1 1 0 2 10 9 -
Kobe Rodgers 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
Aly Khalifa 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Vangelis Zougris 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 1 4 -
J'Vonne Hadley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter