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NC State Wolfpack 96
@
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 78
2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% - ✓
Margin 64.1% 35.9% -3.2 ✓ (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - ✓
Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% - ✓

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -18 (78-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. McNeil 36 8-12 6-8 6-6 3 2 0 0 0 28 21 +6.1
V. Lubin 28 5-8 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 0 0 12 15 -
T. Holloman 28 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 7 +1.3
T. Arceneaux 25 4-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 9 6 +5.1
Q. Copeland 24 3-9 0-1 2-2 3 10 2 0 1 8 13 +18.5
Dar. Williams 24 7-12 5-8 1-1 3 1 2 0 5 20 9 +0.3
M. Able 24 2-6 1-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 7 2 -0.6
M. Sagnia 11 0-0 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 1 0 1 6 -2.1

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harris 40 11-25 3-10 6-7 7 1 2 0 2 31 14 -5.4
M. Colvin 32 1-3 1-2 6-6 2 2 3 0 1 9 12 -3.5
T. Spillers 30 2-4 1-1 2-2 7 0 0 1 0 7 11 -5.9
C. Schwieger 26 2-3 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 2 0 6 9 +1.1
O. Biliew 25 4-6 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 12 8 -6.6
I. Carr 22 2-4 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 -8.0
S. Akins 18 3-7 0-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 8 4 +1.9
M. Mason 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1
J. Cross 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0

* = starter