Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller | 38 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | -10.5 |
| B.J. Edwards | 36 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -8.1 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 32 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -4.9 |
| Corey Washington | 29 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 27 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -8.4 |
| Jaden Toombs | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Sam Walters | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Mitchell Holmes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 34 | 4-15 | 1-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +2.9 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 29 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +10.1 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 29 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Isaac McKneely | 24 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +13.0 |
| Khani Rooths | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | +15.7 |
| Sananda Fru | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7.4 |
| Aly Khalifa | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +14.3 |
| Kobe Rodgers | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +18.7 |
| Adrian Wooley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Vangelis Zougris | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +7.2 |
* = starter