Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3 (97-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 43 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Sam Lewis | 43 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | +0.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 37 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +6.0 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 34 | 9-20 | 0-5 | 14-15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 19 | +3.2 |
| Devin Tillis | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Malik Thomas | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -4.1 |
| Johann Grünloh | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jacari White | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Elijah Gertrude | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Martin Carrere | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 47 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | +3.3 |
| Jalen Haralson | 44 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | -1.1 |
| Brady Koehler | 42 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 27 | -0.1 |
| Cole Certa | 40 | 10-19 | 5-13 | 9-11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 17 | +1.3 |
| Garrett Sundra | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Carson Towt | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Logan Imes | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Sir Mohammed | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Ryder Frost | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.7 |
* = starter