Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Copeland | 36 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | -2.8 |
| P. McNeil | 32 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -1.8 |
| V. Lubin | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -5.8 |
| M. Able | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| T. Holloman | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -1.0 |
| T. Arceneaux | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.0 |
| M. Sagnia | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +3.9 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dunning Jr. | 39 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -2.0 |
| D. Minor | 37 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | +1.1 |
| C. Corhen | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -0.0 |
| R. Siulepa | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 21 | +6.1 |
| B. Cummings | 27 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +3.1 |
| N. Indrusaitis | 21 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| O. Witherspoon | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.1 |
| K. Mullen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| M. Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter