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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% - โœ“
Margin 76.9% 23.1% -6.6 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.5% 17.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quadir Copeland 36 6-11 0-1 8-9 3 9 1 0 3 20 19 -0.8
Paul McNeil Jr. 32 5-11 5-9 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 15 8 +8.0
V. Lubin 32 5-8 0-1 7-8 12 0 1 1 1 17 22 -1.1
Dar. Williams 26 2-8 0-3 3-4 4 2 0 1 1 7 5 -3.6
Matt Able 24 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 8 3 +5.9
Tre Holloman 22 2-5 2-4 4-6 1 1 1 1 2 10 7 -0.5
Terrance Arceneaux 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 +3.9
Musa Sagnia 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 1 0 2 6 +0.1

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Barry Dunning Jr. 39 5-12 2-4 0-2 9 0 1 0 2 12 8 -5.0
Damarco Minor 37 4-12 3-9 2-2 6 3 0 0 5 13 5 -0.6
Cameron Corhen 31 4-12 0-0 2-6 10 0 0 0 2 10 6 +2.4
Roman Siulepa 27 5-9 2-4 3-7 13 1 0 2 1 15 21 +4.3
Brandin Cummings 27 3-11 2-7 1-4 1 3 0 0 1 9 1 -1.7
Nojus Indrusaitis 21 2-8 2-4 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 8 6 -1.0
Omari Witherspoon 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 +6.6
Kieran Mullen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.2
Macari Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter