Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Cole Certa | 24 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -21.3 |
| Brady Koehler | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Logan Imes | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5.1 |
| Jalen Haralson | 19 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -8.0 |
| Sir Mohammed | 19 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Carson Towt | 18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -11.8 |
| Garrett Sundra | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -3.9 |
| Ryder Frost | 14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Matthew MacLellan | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.3 |
| M. Zackery IV | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brady Stevens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 30 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 23 | +10.3 |
| Henri Veesaar | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 19 | +19.7 |
| Derek Dixon | 27 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +13.1 |
| Luka Bogavac | 24 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Jonathan Powell | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Seth Trimble | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +15.1 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Jaydon Young | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Kyan. Evans | 10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Zayden High | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Isaiah Denis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Elijah Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| John Holbrook | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Evan Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.9 |
* = starter