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2026-01-20

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Copeland 41 4-10 1-2 7-9 4 6 2 0 1 16 17 -5.8
Dar. Williams 39 5-17 3-8 4-4 6 3 1 0 0 17 10 -4.2
P. McNeil 37 3-8 3-7 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 10 8 -0.9
V. Lubin 36 9-12 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 0 22 17 -
T. Holloman 28 1-6 0-4 4-4 0 1 1 0 0 6 2 -5.9
M. Able 22 2-3 0-1 2-2 6 2 2 0 3 6 10 -3.0
T. Arceneaux 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3.4
M. Sagnia 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.7

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hunter 38 2-9 2-8 1-2 1 5 1 0 3 7 2 +4.3
RJ Godfrey 38 7-9 0-0 2-5 7 1 0 0 0 16 15 +8.7
J. Porter 38 3-13 3-8 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 9 0 +6.9
C. Welling 34 3-5 0-0 8-12 9 2 0 0 1 14 19 +0.5
E. Johnson 23 2-6 2-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 7 3 +6.5
A. Buckner 20 4-7 1-4 3-3 2 1 0 0 3 12 5 +1.8
J. Wahlin 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -1.2
N. Davidson 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 3 +4.7
C. Thompson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter