Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 34 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | +4.4 |
| Henri Veesaar | 33 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 3-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +3.2 |
| Derek Dixon | 30 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -4.2 |
| Luka Bogavac | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Jaydon Young | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -16.3 |
| Jonathan Powell | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Kyan. Evans | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -11.9 |
| Zayden High | 8 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -13.0 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden | 34 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | +6.5 |
| Justin Pippen | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 16 | -2.7 |
| D. Ames | 32 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12.0 |
| Chris Bell | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Lee Dort | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | -5.1 |
| DJ Campbell | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Milos Ilic | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +15.0 |
| S. Carr | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +6.6 |
| Mantas Kocanas | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Nolan Dorsey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
* = starter