Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | -3.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +5 (95-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Trimble | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -14.1 |
| Caleb Wilson | 36 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 21 | -7.9 |
| Henri Veesaar | 32 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 6-11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20 | -4.3 |
| Kyan. Evans | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Luka Bogavac | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Derek Dixon | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Jaydon Young | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Jonathan Powell | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.3 |
| Zayden High | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Okorie | 36 | 12-20 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 29 | +14.0 |
| R. Agarwal | 34 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +14.3 |
| A. Cammann | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | +4.7 |
| AJ Rohosy | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +5.0 |
| B. Gealer | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +5.0 |
| J. Dent-Smith | 21 | 7-8 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | +4.4 |
| C. Grant | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +21.8 |
| O. Giltay | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | +0.5 |
| D. Young | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.3 |
* = starter