Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 32 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | +14.7 |
| Sam Lewis | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +13.3 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | +20.8 |
| Johann Grünloh | 26 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Malik Thomas | 25 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | +21.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Jacari White | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Devin Tillis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -13.8 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely | 38 | 7-16 | 5-14 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | -3.8 |
| Ryan Conwell | 37 | 5-21 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -11.1 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 35 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -15.0 |
| Adrian Wooley | 29 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5.7 |
| Sananda Fru | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -16.9 |
| Aly Khalifa | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Kobe Rodgers | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Kasean Pryor | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +7.2 |
* = starter