Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.5% | 5.5% | -15.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -15 (56-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 31 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +13.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 30 | 6-15 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +22.2 |
| Caleb Foster | 28 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 25 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +21.6 |
| Dame Sarr | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Patrick Ngongba | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Maliq Brown | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | +7.1 |
| Cay. Boozer | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Darren Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Cameron Sheffield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jack Scott | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Pippen | 33 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -17.4 |
| D. Ames | 33 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Lee Dort | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +3.5 |
| Chris Bell | 25 | 2-12 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | -10.6 |
| John Camden | 24 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +8.6 |
| Milos Ilic | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -21.5 |
| DJ Campbell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.3 |
| S. Carr | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +0.3 |
| Mantas Kocanas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Nolan Dorsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| BJ Fisher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Luke Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
* = starter