Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards | 38 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 15 | +14.8 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 37 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -3 | +8.0 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +17.3 |
| Jaden Toombs | 35 | 10-12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | +3.2 |
| Corey Washington | 26 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +10.6 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +8.5 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Mitchell Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | +1.1 |
| Cay. Boozer | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Isaiah Evans | 30 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | -2.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba | 27 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Maliq Brown | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -9.7 |
| Dame Sarr | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -5.7 |
| Caleb Foster | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -13.3 |
| Darren Harris | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter