Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +24 (84-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ames | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -17.7 |
| Justin Pippen | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | -16.2 |
| John Camden | 30 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -6.8 |
| S. Carr | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -11.2 |
| Chris Bell | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -13.2 |
| Lee Dort | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -12.7 |
| Mantas Kocanas | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Milos Ilic | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Nolan Dorsey | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -11.9 |
| DJ Campbell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Lewis | 33 | 4-12 | 0-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +14.9 |
| Malik Thomas | 25 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +13.7 |
| Chance Mallory | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +19.1 |
| Dallin Hall | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +9.2 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +18.3 |
| Johann Grünloh | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +9.6 |
| Devin Tillis | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +9.9 |
| Martin Carrere | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +5.5 |
| Elijah Gertrude | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Owen Odom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Desmond Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Carter Lang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter